Arctic Sea Ice Road Maps

Knowledge Gaps

Physical science / mechanism

  • Warming due to black carbon may be underestimated in the Arctic, and variability across models is high (AMAP 2021).
  • Need to understand if or how much wildland fire management techniques can reduce black carbon emissions (AMAP 2021).
  • There are uncertainties in emissions from fires because of complex fire regimes (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • There are underestimates of emissions and burned areas from satellite observations, particularly in the Arctic (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • While fire frequency is expected to increase, there is substantial uncertainty around location, intensity, duration, and ignition types (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Need for more detailed and more accessible data on wildfires in the Arctic to inform research and policy recommendations (Paunu et al. 2023).
  • Warming due to black carbon may be underestimated in the Arctic, and variability across models is high (AMAP 2021).
  • Need to understand if or how much wildland fire management techniques can reduce black carbon emissions (AMAP 2021).
  • There are uncertainties in emissions from fires because of complex fire regimes (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • There are underestimates of emissions and burned areas from satellite observations, particularly in the Arctic (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • While fire frequency is expected to increase, there is substantial uncertainty around location, intensity, duration, and ignition types (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Need for more detailed and more accessible data on wildfires in the Arctic to inform research and policy recommendations (Paunu et al. 2023).
  • Warming due to black carbon may be underestimated in the Arctic, and variability across models is high (AMAP 2021).
  • Need to understand if or how much wildland fire management techniques can reduce black carbon emissions (AMAP 2021).
  • There are uncertainties in emissions from fires because of complex fire regimes (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • There are underestimates of emissions and burned areas from satellite observations, particularly in the Arctic (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • While fire frequency is expected to increase; there is substantial uncertainty around location, intensity, duration, and ignition types (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Need for more detailed and more accessible data on wildfires in the Arctic to inform research and policy recommendations (Paunu et al. 2023).
  • Warming due to black carbon may be underestimated in the Arctic and variability across models is high (AMAP 2021).
  • Understanding if or how much wildland fire management techniques can reduce black carbon emissions (AMAP 2021).
  • Uncertainties in emissions from fires because of complex fire regimes (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Underestimates of emissions and burned areas from satellite observations, particularly in the Arctic (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • While fire frequency is expected to increase, there is substantial uncertainty around location, intensity, duration, and ignition types (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Need for more detailed and more accessible data on wildfires in the Arctic to inform research and policy recommendations (Paunu et al. 2023).
  • Warming due to black carbon may be underestimated in the Arctic and variability across models is high (AMAP 2021)
  • Understanding if or how much wildland fire management techniques can reduce black carbon emissions (AMAP 2021)
  • Uncertainties in emissions from fires because of complex fire regimes (AMAP 2021 full report)
  • Underestimates of emissions and burned areas from satellite observations, particularly in the Arctic (AMAP 2021 full report)
  • While fire frequency is expected to increase, there is substantial uncertainty around location, intensity, duration, and ignition types (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Need for more detailed and more accessible data on wildfires in the Arctic to inform research and policy recommendations (Paunu et al. 2023).

Projects from Ocean CDR Community

Social risks / benefits

Version published: 
  • What wildland fire management strategies could have broad buy-in from Arctic Indigenous and local communities (AMAP 2021)?
  • Increase understanding of co-benefits of emissions reductions for climate and health (AMAP 2021 full report). Need to increase spatial resolution and time periods of global model datasets for improved assessments of changes in local air quality and regional climate (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Observations of air pollution levels and impacts on human health and vegetation in the Arctic are limited. This is needed for epidemiological studies and for establishing baselines for future comparisons (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Human influence on future fire risk is uncertain and depends on local to national scale actions like deforestation, transportation, energy extraction, tourism, cultural burning, agricultural burning, fuel management, and fire suppression (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • What wildland fire management strategies could have broad buy-in from Arctic Indigenous and local communities (AMAP 2021)?
  • Increase understanding of co-benefits of emissions reductions for climate and health (AMAP 2021 full report). Need to increase spatial resolution and time periods of global model datasets for improved assessments of changes in local air quality and regional climate (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Observations of air pollution levels and impacts on human health and vegetation in the Arctic are limited. This is needed for epidemiological studies and for establishing baselines for future comparisons (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Human influence on future fire risk is uncertain and depends on local to national scale actions like deforestation, transportation, energy extraction, tourism, cultural burning, agricultural burning, fuel management, and fire suppression (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • What wildland fire management strategies could have broad buy-in from Arctic Indigenous and local communities? (AMAP 2021)
  • Increase understanding of co-benefits of emissions reductions for climate and health (AMAP 2021 full report). Need to increase spatial resolution and time periods of global model datasets for improved assessments of changes in local air quality and regional climate (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Observations of air pollution levels and impacts on human health and vegetation in the Arctic are limited. This is needed for epidemiological studies and for establishing baselines for future comparisons (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • Human influence on future fire risk is uncertain and depends on local to national scale actions like deforestation, transportation, energy extraction, tourism, cultural burning, agricultural burning, fuel management, and fire suppression (AMAP 2021 full report).

Projects from Ocean CDR Community

Governance

Version published: 
  • There may be need for a Pan-Arctic wildland fire management and monitoring strategy that includes buy-in from Arctic Council Members and Arctic Indigenous communities in order to mitigate emissions (AMAP 2021 full report).
  • There may be need for a Pan-Arctic wildland fire management and monitoring strategy that includes buy-in from Arctic Council Members and Arctic Indigenous communities in order to mitigate emissions (AMAP 2021 full report).

Projects from Ocean CDR Community

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